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UK inflation stays at 2.8% as slowing food prices offset rising transport costs

Economy The Guardian By Heather Stewart and Joanna Partridge 17 Jun 2026 06:00 1 min read
UK inflation stays at 2.8% as slowing food prices offset rising transport costs

May’s figure confounds forecasts of an increase to 3% as Bank of England prepares to set interest rates Analysis: benign data signals a softer hit than feared UK inflation unexpectedly remained at 2.8% in May, as rising energy costs caused by the Iran conflict were offset by slower increases in food prices. The unchanged reading on the consumer price index measure of inflation (CPI) confounded economists’ expectations of a 3% increase as the conflict restricted global energy flows – and raised

May’s figure confounds forecasts of an increase to 3% as Bank of England prepares to set interest rates

Analysis: benign data signals a softer hit than feared

UK inflation unexpectedly remained at 2.8% in May, as rising energy costs caused by the Iran conflict were offset by slower increases in food prices.

The unchanged reading on the consumer price index measure of inflation (CPI) confounded economists’ expectations of a 3% increase as the conflict restricted global energy flows – and raised hopes that the impact of the war on prices might be more muted than feared.

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